Aetos non American overnight, chicken feathers in September interest rate expectations or repeat 厦门理工学院教务处

AETOS: non US overnight a feather the United States in September is expected to raise interest rates or repeat clients to view the latest market news International Monetary Fund [micro-blog] (micro-blog IMF[) warned in the semi annual report, emerging economies and developing economies have mid risk, especially in Europe, Japan and Chinese. But IMF points out that emerging economies have less pressure. The rise in commodity prices and the recent decline in uncertainty in China are the main reason. Reuters said that the U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly recorded 43 years lows, and is the eighty-third consecutive week at an important juncture of 300 thousand people, the data show that the job market is stable, may support the Fed rate hike this year; employment growth situation is slow, but the job market still absorbed many new occupation. Treasury yields rose to a three week high on Thursday, and investors were preparing for a strong employment report on Friday. The market believes that a good employment report will suggest the Fed’s next interest rate hike. The index of 10 year bond prices fell by 732, the yield was 1.74%, higher than 1.72% on Wednesday, 1.54% rebound from last Friday. The U.S. Treasury Department said Thursday, next week will auction a total of $56 billion coupon bonds, including a $24 billion three year bonds, $20 billion and $12 billion in the 10 year treasury bond period of 30 years. Thursday the U.S. stock market basically go flat, the Dow Jones industrial index Thursday fell 10.68 points, or 0.06%, at 18270.35 points; the S & P 500 index Thursday closed up 1.15 points, or 0.05%, at 2160.88 points; the NASDAQ [micro-blog] index Thursday fell 8.77 points, or 0.16%, at 5307.25 points. EUR USD basic analysis: the September meeting minutes announced by the European Central Bank [micro-blog] on Thursday showed that interest rate policy makers agreed that the euro area economy needed sustained monetary policy support, and pointed out that underlying inflation did not show signs of recovery. On September 7-8 ECB meeting showed: keep a large monetary support is crucial, the central bank forecast include the monetary support; there is no doubt that the management committee has decided to carry out the past has decided to purchase assets at the same time, if necessary, will take further measures to achieve the goal of maintaining price stability. Meeting minutes also show that the board should not be too much affected by the market expectations, and reiterated that if necessary, the central bank has the ability and willingness to use all the tools; management committee can at any time to adjust the QE parameters to achieve the desired size of the European central bank executive committee Cole said at the meeting, the implementation of low interest rates pose a challenge for the future QE. Executive Committee Triplett said at the meeting, make any adjustments must consider the effectiveness of monetary policy on QE. European stock markets fell Thursday, the STOXX 600 index rose after the opening on Thursday, down 0.4%, the continuation of yesterday’s decline. Method CAC shares index was down 0.22%, Germany DAX stock index fell 0.16%. Technical analysis.

AETOS:非美隔夜一地鸡毛 美9月加息预期或重演 客户端 查看最新行情   市场消息   国际货币基金组织[微博](IMF[微博])在半年报中警告称,新兴经济体和发展经济体都有中期风险,尤其是欧洲、日本和中国。不过IMF指出,新兴经济体压力减少。商品价格走高和中国近期不确定性下降是主因。   路透社点评称,美国失业金申请人数意外录得是43年以来低点,并且已经是连续第83周在30万人的重要关口之下,此数据表明就业市场情况稳定,可能会支持美联储在今年进行加息;就业增长情况虽然缓慢,但是就业市场依然吸收了许多新职业。   美国公债收益率周四上升至三周高位,投资者为周五可能公布强劲的就业报告作准备,市场认为,良好的就业报告会暗示美联储下次升息时机。指标10年期公债价格下跌7 32,收益率报1.74%,高于周三尾盘的1.72%,从上周五触及的1.54%反弹。美国财政部周四称,下周将标售总计560亿美元附息公债,包括240亿美元三年期公债,200亿美元10年期公债和120亿美元30年期公债。   美国股市周四基本走平,道琼斯工业指数周四收跌10.68点,或0.06%,报18270.35点;标普500指数周四收涨1.15点,或0.05%,报2160.88点;纳斯达克[微博]指数周四收跌8.77点,或0.16%,报5307.25点。   EUR USD   基本分析:   欧洲央行[微博]周四公布的9月会议纪要显示,与会的利率政策制定者一致认为欧元区经济需要持续的货币政策支持,并指出基础通胀没有显露出复苏迹象。   9月7-8日的ECB会议记录显示:保留相当大规模的货币支持是至关重要的,央行预测就包含了对货币支持的考虑;毫无疑问,管理委员会有决心实施过去已决定的资产购买措施,同时若有必要,也将采取进一步措施,以实现维持物价稳定的目标。   会议纪要还显示,管理委员会不应过多受到市场预期的影响,并重申若有必要,央行有能力且愿意动用所有工具;管理委员会能在任何时候调整QE参数以实现想要的规模欧洲央行执委科尔在会上表示,低利率对未来的QE实施构成挑战。执委普雷特则在会上表示,对QE做出任何调整都必须要考虑货币政策的有效性。   欧洲股市周四下跌,STOXX 600指数周四开盘上扬,后收低0.4%,延续昨日跌势。法股CAC指数收低0.22%,德股DAX指数收跌0.16%。   技术分析:   欧元隔夜汇价再次空头下行,收盘下阴柱。日内汇价波幅再次放量震荡,上方临压多根均线阻力,下方临前近前期重要技术关口上方;短期汇价或连续空头震荡,警惕连续下行风险,走势或维持三角形区间震荡。多日均线汇价上方交叉临分化,或持续小幅下行。MACD指标慢线零轴线上连续平滑前行,快线小幅下行连续;蓝色动能柱小幅增量持续。   GBP USD   基本分析:   周四英镑 美元持续下挫,日内最低触及1.2694,距离隔夜触及的1.2683不远。本周英镑累计跌幅超过2%。值得注意的是,对英国首相特雷莎梅有关宽松货币政策的影响,英镑则反应冷淡。由此看来,当前的市场交易主题都聚焦于英国脱欧上面。   英国新任首相特雷莎•梅昨天对党内演讲时,提及超低利率及印钞措施的副作用问题,巩固决策官员货币刺激可能已接近极限的观点。她的谈话亦引发外界臆测,基于对储蓄及退休金的负面影响,英国政府可能反对央行进一步降息。   周五亚市早盘,英镑 美元惊现大跳水,一度跌幅达到6%,创下英国脱欧公投以来的最大盘中跌幅。据彭博报道,一些做市商正在讨论英镑 美元周五早盘触及的低点,或低于1.1400,而非彭博汇总的数据显示的1.1841。交易员称,有可能将确立一个新低点,作为前夜设下的止损指令的参考点。   本周迄今英镑累积跌幅超过4%,受首相特蕾莎梅上周日宣布退欧正式程序将在明年3月底启动影响。据路透周四发布的一份调查报告称,预计英镑可能进一步走低。德国商业银行分析师指出,未来1到3个月时间内,英镑 美元关注1.22,接下来就是1.0463的1985年低点。澳新银行周四撰文指出,自2017年3月英国首相TheresaMay宣布英国退出欧盟以来,英镑 澳元创历史新低。随着澳元保持在区间内震荡,我们预计英镑仍将呈下行趋势。   周四英股富时100指数下跌0.47%。   技术分析:   英镑汇价隔夜大幅空头下行,收盘长阴柱。日内汇价空头巨幅放量,下行破位多年新低,短期汇价或持续空头震荡,警惕短暂技术性回调风险。多日均线持续齐头分化下行连续,区间逐渐放开。MACD指标双线连续零轴线下下行,区间加大;蓝色动能柱稳定小幅增量。   USD JPY   基本分析:   日本前经济财政大臣竹中平藏[微博]周四表示,日本央行将会进一步调降负利率,以达成2%的通胀率目标。竹中平藏现为庆应义垫大学名誉教授,并担任政府投资小组成员,他在接受路透专访时表示,日本央行的新政策框架“合乎传统”,不必然是一种重大改变。日本央行目标对商业银行存放在央行的部分超额准备金实施负利率。对于是否会进一步调降该利率,他说日本央行无疑将会这样做。他并称重要的是,民众需要承认日本央行的政策已经产生了明显效果。   日本央行行长黑田东彦周四呼吁欧洲决策官员迅速采取行动,解决该区域银行业问题,他表明延迟处理对经济可能产生负面影响。他称,其将向G20伙伴国说明,日本央行已做出“相当有力的承诺”,在通胀稳定高出2%的通胀目标之前,日本央行将保持超宽松货币政策。对于外界认为日本央行刺激增长的政策工具可能已经耗尽的说法,黑田不以为然。他称,“我不认为货币政策已达极限。”   今早数据显示:日本9月外汇储备(亿美元)实际值:12601;前值:12561。   技术分析:   日元汇价隔夜九连阳,再次收盘小阳柱。日内汇价上行破位10日均线阻力,上方临近前期重要技术关口;短期汇价或连续多头震荡,警惕技术性回调风险。多日均线交错分化上行连续,区间逐渐展开;100日均线汇价下发平滑前行。MACD指标双线分化零轴线上下,缓慢上行;红色动能柱小幅增量连续。   AUD USD   基本分析:   今早数据显示:澳大利亚9月AIG建筑业表现指数 实际值:51.4;前值:46.6。   技术分析:   澳元隔夜汇价再次空头下行,收盘下阴柱。日内汇价维持空头震荡,后市下行;汇价上方临压10日均线打压,下方临近100日均线支撑;短期汇价或连续空头震荡,警惕连续下行风险,汇价走势持续上行通道内震荡。多日均线连续分化上扬,10日均线小幅下行。MACD指标双线零轴线上死叉分化,小幅下行;蓝色动能柱稳定小幅增量。 新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: